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Were
having an energy crisis again. It all sort of makes
me reminiscent of the last time we did this, back in
1973, with the Mideast Oil Embargo. Maybe you remember
it? I will never forget it, as I was just 17 at the
time, the magic age to get my New Jersey Drivers
License. There I was, finally able to drive, sitting
in frustration in the gas lines.
Remember
the odd-even license plate days? Green or red flags,
meaning there was or wasnt gasoline? Sitting on
line for hours to buy the 10-gallon limit? When I drove
a carload of friends to a school or religious activity,
I would be repaid by their parents in gasoline. The
good old days? Hardly. I also remember getting a healthy
dose of the flu sitting in the cold in my car. After
all, you couldnt run the engine while you waited
and waste all that precious gas.
Of
course in 1973, there really was a serious shortage
of supply. The question is, do we have one now, and
if so, why? Did we fail to learn any lesson s the last
time around, thus causing history to repeat itself 28
years later? When times got better, we forget what happened
in 1973.
It
is not as if there is a real shortage this time, like
there was in 1973. To the contrary, refineries are operating
at 92 percent of capacity, which could be argued as
efficiency. True, we need to increase refining capacity,
and there is the problem of there being federal or state
environmental regulations requiring 14 different blends
of gasoline, so supplies in one area cannot be used
in another.
Oil
Companies Show Profit
Nonetheless, if someone has to suffer, it certainly
hasnt been the oil companies. Higher gas prices
has meant higher profits for them. CBS News reported
on April 24th that Exxon-Mobil quarterly profits were
up 51 percent, just short of the last quarter, described
as the most profitable quarter on record for any American
corporation. Ever.
Conoco
Oil profits were up 58 percent, the same quarter. Oil
company profits reflect the fact that business is just
grand under the leadership of Bush and Cheney, both
long standing oil industry supporters.
Senate
Democrats are correct in calling for a new probe into
the oil industrys record profits.
In
an ironic twist, the President may have helped his oil
company supporters and contributors snatch up literally
the entire tax cut he just enacted. The $100 billion
in tax refunds, if offset against as much as $130 billion
in higher fuel costs, means that due to price gouging
by the oil companies, the money you supposedly save
from the tax cut will go right into the pockets of the
oil companies.
Like
his tax plan, the presidents energy plan is tilted
toward the special interests. For good reason, GOP has
come to stand for Gas, Oil & Petroleum.
The oil industry contributed in a big way to the Bush
campaign. Now it is payback time.
Republicans
oversimplify the situation, telling us all we need to
do is increase supply and deregulate the energy industry.
The free market will take care of itself, they claim.
But
the history of deregulation is not as shining as they
would have us believe. Look at the airline industry.
Has deregulation been good for the flying public? Less
competition for routes, higher fares, and no concern
for customer satisfaction is the net result. Has it
worked in the telephone industry? Do you have a choice
of local service providers at your house? I dont.
The
point is, while deregulation may be a fine ideal, it
needs some direction; a government hand, as it were,
to keep it steered in the right direction. The recently
released Bush Energy Plan steers the car in the wrong
direction.
The
problem with the Bush proposal is that it is too focused
on the supply side of the equation, with little attention
paid to reduction of demand for energy use.
In
a nutshell, the plan relies too heavily on fossil fuels,
promotes the exploitation of wilderness areas which
ought to remain protected, minimizes environmental issues
and does little to nothing to promote the development
of renewable energy sources and conservation. It is
a failure to consider the demand side of the energy
equation.
Under
the Presidents plan, even the current power crisis
in California is blamed on the supply side. Conservatives
tell us that if we built more power plants, drilled
more oil, and generated more nuclear energy, Californias
problems would not have occurred. This is plainly untrue.
The
fact is, Californias problems stem from a flawed
regulatory scheme enacted under former Republican Gov.
Pete Wilson, in which the price utility companies were
allowed to charge was capped, while the price of energy
generating was not.
Californians
Not Alone
While temporary price caps may be the way to control
the California situation, Californians are not alone
in their concern about energy problems. Just a week
ago, Arizona issued a warning that its residents may
also be facing rolling blackouts this summer.
Here
in New Jersey we shouldnt be too complacent either.
As a result of deregulation in this state, GPU, one
of New Jerseys major power generators, has sold
virtually all of its generating capacity to third parties,
without entering into adequate long term contracts to
buy power. Because of this, GPU has run up huge deficits,
and in 2003 the rate caps will expire.
Meanwhile,
Akron-based First Energy is seeking a merger with GPU,
which will mean that 2.6 million New Jersey customers
will be dependent on an out-of-state generating company
for their energy. By the way, First Energy is a major
contributor to the Republican Party, and is being sued
by the Justice Department for violations of the Clean
Air Act. This kind of deregulation, we dont need.
While
we do need to expand our refining capacity and build
more power plants, nuclear energy is still questionable,
despite Vice President Cheneys recent pronouncement
that aside from Three Mile Island and Chernobyl,
the industry has a fine record.
Safety
issues aside, the Bush plan fails to account for how
we dispose of the high-level nuclear waste generated
by these plants. For obvious reasons, no one wants such
a facility in their own back yard.
We
simply cannot dig, drill and mine our way out of this
situation. We need to make conservation, energy efficiency,
higher mileage standards for our cars and renewable
energy sources a main part of the effort. The Bush plan,
aside from a tax credit for hybrid gas and electric
cars, does little to encourage changes in conservation
and consumption.
Believe
it or not, our cars get fewer miles to the gallon than
they did 20 years ago, thanks to our desire for gas
guzzlers and SUVs. Imagine what it would do for oil
consumption in this country if we simply raised the
fuel efficiency standards of our vehicles. We could
save up to 1 million barrels of oil per day, an immediate
5 percent cut in oil consumption. Oilman Bush prefers
to study this issue. That is what we should
expect from an apologist for the oil industry. The savings
in consumption would more than make up for the oil we
would produce from the environmentally risky and questionable
plan to drill in the Arctic.
Why
havent we exploited solar and wind energy, in
parts of the country where they would be useful, and
why havent we provided the tax incentives for
investment in these technologies? As a teen-ager, visiting
Israel, one of the memories I still have of the City
of Haifa is that every house had a solar collector on
the roof. Why dont we do the same in Florida,
California and Arizona?
Working
with the free market system, decreasing consumption
and developing appropriate new technologies will turn
this crisis into an opportunity. Anyone who doesnt
believe that such societal change is possible should
simply recall that once our landscape was traversed
by horse and buggy. We Americans manage change quite
nicely when it is in our best interests to do so.
February
4, 2002
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